Election 2016 Extremely High Undecideds benefit Trump One of the most significant wild cards in the 2016 election is the high number of undecideds. Much of the race will be decided by which side they vote for on election-day. This post presents the size of this cohort and speculates on how it can impact the final […]
High Undecideds, Social Desirability Bias
Election 2016 Social Desirability Bias / Very High Undecideds: Eventually to Benefit Trump As compared to historical US presidential elections from 1936 to 2016, the current level of undecideds is at the all-time high for this time in the cycle. Some assumptions, which will be explained later, have been made, so […]
Clinton vs Trump, Social Desirability Bias
Election 2016 Social Desirability Bias / Trump Shaming: Clinton vs Trump head-to-head In 2016, Trump shaming is real and Clinton has superficially benefited. Her position is seen as being stronger than it actually is due to the fact that many Trump supporters have been closeted and many demographic groups feel social […]