Election 2016 Forecast / Turnout and Result: Primary Turnout Of course primary turnout matters! This is not the easiest variable to analyze as conditions of each election cycle can seriously modify the validity of primary turnout analysis – but if you make sure to take changes into account, then primary turnout is […]
Republican Primaries, Social Desirability Bias
Election 2016 Social Desirability Bias / Trump Shaming: Republican Primaries The Republican primaries are a great case study for Social Desirability Bias. We have a considerable amount of data from multiple polls in multiple states for multiple candidates. Additionally, this data can be compared to actual results from the primaries. It turns […]