French Election First Round Results versus SMI Forecasts Social Media Influence (SMI) forecasts for the first round of voting of the 2017 French Presidential Election compares well with actual results. Taking the main SMI forecasts that ended up being correct: Macron will win the most votes in the first round. SMI forecasted that Macron would […]
SMI Revised Forecasts for French Election
French Election First Round of Voting The 2017 French Presidential Election has been ‘called’ by consensus commentators and betting markets many times already. For much of 2016, most commentators assumed that the Republican candidate (eventually Fillon) would win the election. Then, as France and Europe experienced issues with refugees and/or recent immigrants, the media and […]
French Election: SMI Shows Melenchon Strength
French Presidential Election Melenchon – Dark Horse Candidate The first round of voting will take place within two weeks, on April 23rd. Much of the campaign has developed along the lines that we laid out in our early December SMI forecast. However, there have recently been some significant shifts which could shake things up going […]