The following is an excerpt from a ZettaCap report published in February 2019.
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Let’s review some of the points that suggest Michelle Obama is seriously considering a run:
- Autobiography – published bestselling autobiography, basic starting point for presidential hopefuls,
- Publishing Date – publication timing is uncannily similar to that of Barack’s book when using respective election-days as anchor dates,
- Book Tour’s Length – a 180-day book tour is just exceptionally long, it’s not ‘just a book tour’,
- Book Tour’s End Date – near the end of the expected announcement window, perfect timing for a potential announcement of a reluctant savior,
- Many Media Interviews – she has appeared on pretty much every top tier talk show since late 2018,
- Posting Throwback Photos – Michelle posted throwback photos on social media in January and February following an apparently established political strategy employed by Hillary Clinton,
- Other Reluctant Saviors Postponing Decisions – Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, and even Michael Bloomberg could all play the role of reluctant savior while preventing a party rupture, but are mysteriously postponing a decision as if waiting for a cue,
Taken individually, these factors don’t amount to much. However, taken together, it looks like Michelle Obama is the primary reluctant savior of 2020. And, it is a bit shocking that more people have not commented on it.
In the end, essentially Michelle will work as a put option for the Democratic Party. If things go exceedingly well for let’s say Kamala, the option expires. But if for whatever reason the Democrats look like they are in trouble (Kamala shifts too far left, a scandal hits, front-runner stumbles, Trump surges ahead, Bernie Sanders takes a commanding lead, the Green New Deal falls flat after so many Democratic candidates endorsed it, impeachment of Trump fails and indictment of former Obama administration officials starts, etc.), this option will be exercised and Michelle will declare.
This scenario is very positive for Democrats. In fact, it is pretty much a best case scenario in that the electorate will get a sneak peek at a wide range of new (Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, etc.) and established (Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, etc.) candidates. If none seems viable and/or if the Democratic Party seems like it is in any real trouble, at least one reluctant savior will jump in.
After considering the current environment, there is little doubt that this is the actual and real picture as it stands today. The real question is why has it received such paltry and muted coverage?