Dutch Election Late Surge for Populists but Left-Leaning Parties still Win Out The SMI has fairly consistently pointed towards right-leaning parties underperforming polls in the 2017 Dutch Election. This forecast, however, has been impacted by real world events that have greatly helped the Social Media Influence (SMI) ratings of right-leaning parties, principally the populist PVV. […]
SMI Forecast: D66 to Win Dutch Election
2017 Dutch Election ‘Unexpected’ Outperformance by Left-Leaning Parties The Netherlands holds its next general election on March 15, 2017, or one week from today. Most expect parties on the right of the political spectrum to do well – that is they are expected to dominate according to pundits, polls and betting markets. […]
Social Media Influence (SMI) Election Track-Record
SMI Track-Record Making Correct Forecasts in Difficult Times Analyzing social media and/or on-line activity to measure influence and intent is still relatively new. It has been used with success in finance and product releases, but its application to elections was unheard of until 2015. Since that time, a number of out-of-consensus […]
Dutch Election: SMI points to D66
Dutch Elections SMI points to D66 Surge The Netherlands will hold its general election on March 15, 2017, a month from today. As it occurs prior to the French (April/May) and German (September) elections, it will help to provide an indication of the direction that Europe will take going forward. Especially, in the relatively volatile […]